India could produce 8-10 million tonnes of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) by 2040, and investments worth $70-85 billion (Rs 6-7 lakh crore) will be required to achieve the projected production, according to a Deloitte India report.

The report titled, “Green wings: India’s Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) revolution in the making," says SAF will give impetus to the aviation sector's decarbonisation efforts, reducing carbon emissions to 20–25 million tonnes annually.

The report indicates that an 8–10 million tonnes production would surpass India's estimated domestic demand of 4.5 million tonnes for a 15% blending mandate in 2040 across all flights.

It could also position India as a leading SAF exporter serving global markets.

The projected capital investment of Rs 6–7 lakh crore will result in a substantial socio-economic impact, creating between 1.1 and 1.4 million jobs across the value chain and reducing crude oil import bills by $5–7 billion annually.

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"By empowering farmers and reducing carbon emissions, SAF offers a blueprint for sustainable economic growth.

The confluence of abundant feedstock, technological innovation and policy alignment presents an immediate opportunity to meet our blending mandates and serve global demand," said Viral Thakker, Partner and Sustainability and Climate Leader, Deloitte South Asia, adding that the challenge now is to move swiftly, turning strategic vision into practical solutions that deliver long-term environmental and economic value.

” According to Deloitte’s analysis, India’s estimated surplus of 230 million tonnes of agricultural residue will be a crucial resource for producing SAF. This surplus will serve as a vital feedstock for ethanol (2G) production, a key component in the Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ) technology pathway for SAF manufacturing.

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Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) and used cooking oil (UCO) will contribute to the overall potential.

Alternate feedstock such as sweet sorghum, seaweed and industrial waste can give further impetus to SAF potential with technological maturity.

Prashanth Nutula, Partner, Deloitte India, said, “The drive to produce SAF is quickly becoming a reality globally and in India.

With a 2–3% share in the global ATF market, India is favourably positioned in the global aviation fuel market, including SAF." India also emerges as a competitive geography due to its proximity to airline hubs in the Middle East and Europe and favourable cost structures.

As a result, India is poised to play a pivotal role as global demand for SAF surges.

"By fostering collaboration across sectors, India can shape the future of sustainable aviation globally, driving both environmental and economic impact now and for decades to come," added Nutula.

Successful adoption of SAF will require collective interventions from all the ecosystem stakeholders.

Establishing a clear and long-term demand roadmap, such as Renewable Purchase Obligations (RPO), will foster interest and stimulate early investments, even when technologies are not commercially viable.

SAF facilities will require a stable and reliable supply of feedstock.

Key stakeholders, such as Farmer Producer Organisations (FPO), need to take an active role in accelerating the establishment of supply chains.

This includes collecting, warehousing, segregating and handling logistics, in collaboration with producers.

Additionally, the formation of multi-stakeholder Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) that bring together airlines, SAF manufacturers, Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs), FPOs and technology providers can help mitigate initial risks and overcome the initial inertia before the SAF flywheel starts moving.

Financial incentives, such as Production Linked Incentives (PLI), viability gap funding, tax breaks and interest subventions, are needed to drive investments to kick-start SAF adoption, the report added.